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Phys. Rev. Lett. 101, 168501 (2008) [4 pages]

Solar Forcing of the Stream Flow of a Continental Scale South American River

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Pablo J. D. Mauas*
Instituto de Astronomía y Física del Espacio (CONICET-UBA), C.C. 67 Sucursal 28, 1428, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Eduardo Flamenco
Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria, Rivadavia 1439, 1033, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Andrea P. Buccino
Instituto de Astronomía y Física del Espacio, (CONICET-UBA), C.C. 67 Sucursal 28, 1428, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Received 18 April 2008; published 17 October 2008

Solar forcing on climate has been reported in several studies although the evidence so far remains inconclusive. Here, we analyze the stream flow of one of the largest rivers in the world, the Paraná in southeastern South America. For the last century, we find a strong correlation with the sunspot number, in multidecadal time scales, and with larger solar activity corresponding to larger stream flow. The correlation coefficient is r=0.78, significant to a 99% level. In shorter time scales we find a strong correlation with El Niño. These results are a step toward flood prediction, which might have great social and economic impacts.

© 2008 The American Physical Society

URL:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevLett.101.168501
DOI:
10.1103/PhysRevLett.101.168501
PACS:
92.70.Qr, 93.30.Jg

*pablo@iafe.uba.ar