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Phys. Rev. Lett. 89, 288103 (2002) [4 pages]

Solvable Senescence Model Showing a Mortality Plateau

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J. B. Coe1, Y. Mao1, and M. E. Cates2
1Cavendish Laboratory, Madingley Road, Cambridge, CB3 0HE, United Kingdom
2Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Edinburgh, King’s Buildings, Mayfield Road, Edinburgh, EH9 3JZ, United Kingdom

Received 7 June 2002; published 27 December 2002

We present some analytic results for the steady states of the Penna model of senescence, generalized to allow genetically identical individuals to die at different ages via an arbitrary survival function. Modeling this with a Fermi function (of modest width) we obtain a clear mortality plateau late in life: something that has so far eluded explanation within such mutation accumulation models. This suggests that factors causing variable mortality within genetically identical subpopulations, which include environmental effects, may be essential to understanding the mortality plateau seen in many real species.

© 2002 The American Physical Society

URL:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevLett.89.288103
DOI:
10.1103/PhysRevLett.89.288103
PACS:
87.23.–n, 87.10.+e