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Phys. Rev. Lett. 95, 181102 (2005) [4 pages]

Interoccurrence Times in the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld Sandpile Model: A Comparison with the Observed Statistics of Solar Flares

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Maya Paczuski1, Stefan Boettcher2, and Marco Baiesi3
1Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics, Waterloo, N2L 2Y5, Canada
2Department of Physics, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia 30322, USA
3Instituut voor Theoretische Fysica, K. U. Leuven, B-3001, Belgium

Received 21 June 2005; published 27 October 2005

A sequence of bursts observed in an intermittent time series may be caused by a single avalanche, even though these bursts appear as distinct events when noise and/or instrument resolution impose a detection threshold. In the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld sandpile, the statistics of quiet times between bursts switches from Poissonian to scale invariant on raising the threshold for detecting instantaneous activity, since each zero-threshold avalanche breaks into a hierarchy of correlated bursts. Calibrating the model with the time resolution of GOES data, qualitative agreement with the interoccurrence time statistics of solar flares at different intensity thresholds is found.

© 2005 The American Physical Society

URL:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevLett.95.181102
DOI:
10.1103/PhysRevLett.95.181102
PACS:
96.60.Rd, 05.45.Tp, 05.65.+b, 47.27.Eq